Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001053 0.001200 0.001348 0.001508 0.001676 0.001846 0.002031
2025-06-22 0.000811 0.001018 0.001235 0.001478 0.001739 0.002010 0.002311
2025-06-29 0.000650 0.000902 0.001175 0.001489 0.001835 0.002200 0.002612
2025-07-06 0.000577 0.000872 0.001202 0.001590 0.002023 0.002487 0.003015
2025-07-13 0.000444 0.000758 0.001124 0.001565 0.002068 0.002613 0.003241
2025-07-20 0.000318 0.000635 0.001025 0.001507 0.002069 0.002687 0.003405
2025-07-27 0.000259 0.000591 0.001013 0.001547 0.002177 0.002877 0.003695
2025-08-03 0.000189 0.000518 0.000960 0.001534 0.002221 0.002990 0.003898
2025-08-10 0.000108 0.000414 0.000857 0.001453 0.002179 0.003004 0.003986
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000348 0.000797 0.001420 0.002192 0.003077 0.004136
2025-08-24 0.000019 0.000263 0.000702 0.001336 0.002139 0.003070 0.004194
2025-08-31 0.000004 0.000222 0.000665 0.001323 0.002170 0.003159 0.004360
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000198 0.000664 0.001376 0.002303 0.003395 0.004725
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000142 0.000603 0.001347 0.002336 0.003513 0.004959
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000109 0.000573 0.001358 0.002418 0.003691 0.005263
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000106 0.000603 0.001454 0.002610 0.004003 0.005724
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000069 0.000552 0.001430 0.002646 0.004125 0.005964
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000033 0.000484 0.001375 0.002638 0.004193 0.006137
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000023 0.000479 0.001413 0.002753 0.004408 0.006484
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000009 0.000442 0.001400 0.002797 0.004536 0.006728
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000370 0.001322 0.002750 0.004550 0.006833
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000329 0.001290 0.002764 0.004636 0.007024
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000265 0.001210 0.002707 0.004632 0.007103